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Friday, September 22, 2006

Goals - LOL

Check out Aaron's shiner from all the brutal beatsSo 3/6nl has gotten even more swingy since my last few posts...As the last post stated I had my worst single day loss ever, but thankfully the next day I went on an 8 buy in crusade to erase Sunday's tragedy...unfortunately since then I'm back down another 3-4 buyins and my total winnings for the month is a paltry $2800 or so in like 26,000 hands. Blah. Variance can be a bitch. But as alluded to in some previous posts, I'm handling it pretty well mentally. I still have visions (pipe dreams?) of taking some real shots at 5/10nl. Maybe the Peter Principle is at work, but I'm pretty confident I'm a winning player at 3/6nl and I'd like to progress my game to the point that I can hang at 5/10. We'll see.

The problem with moving to 5/10 is my winrate will almost certainly be worse at 5/10 than 3/6, which means higher variance and standard deviation. It's takes much less time to smooth out the "bumps" as a 5ptbb/100 winner than it is as a 2.5-3ptbb/100 winner (or whatever my "true" winrate could be at 5/10?). Any less than 2.5ptbb/100 and I think the variance coupled with the increased stakes would be too stressful to take.

Funny though, how relative the stakes are in poker. People who play 10/20nl or 25/50nl laugh at 5/10nl being such a cakewalk...where as I'd be scared of being crushed. Similarly, I'm sure 100nl is considered a tough step up to some, but I'm pretty confident I could crush it for 10ptbb/100+. If you hang around poker players enough (esp online players) you'll often get that rhetoric "oh the X/X*2 level is so easy, a monkey could beat it" but for most, there was at least some amount of struggling along the move up. For me, that's what helps keep me motivated to improve.

So, you're probably thinking, "Gee Aaron, after this month you should be really motivated!!" haha...touche. I've basically got a week to try to turn this month into something. We'll see what I can do...if I continue on this pace, it'll be the first month in a long time that I have not made more than my full time job. Sick huh?

The current plan is to run hotttt and stack lots of donks this weekend and hopefully by Thursday I'll have a few buyins that I can take to 5/10 with Jay in my corner

I'm at work now so when I get home I'll try to upload the latest monthly graph. It's pretty gross... still like 7k off my peak. I remember when I thought this month was going to be a repeat of last months' performance. Here's a big "LOL" at that one ;-)

Also, I think I want to redesign the look and feel of my site. I think it pretty much sucks...but I have no talent in color coordination or graphic design. I might even be willing to pay someone to make it look better. Email me or post a comment if you know someone who's up for the challenge.

Goal update:
26,000 / 40,000 hands played, all 2/4 and 3/6
0/1,000 hands at 5/10nl
$2800 / $20,000 (lol)
0/2 live sessions played

I suck at goals.

Aaron

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