Aaron ‘WiltOnTilt’ Wilt’s +EV Poker Blog

This entry is taken from a post I made on CardRunners.com. In that thread, Lou asked if he should call a big overbet on a draw with one card to come. Based on a lot of the responses, it was clear people were missing some things about pot odds and EV, so I [...]

So pop’s boys managed to hold off Central Florida racking up 3 sacks on UCF’s final drive to put the nail in the coffin with a 19-14 finish. Our offense didn’t convert a 3rd down until midway through the 3rd quarter, yet UCF only had 7 points on the scoreboard. A combination of determination, miscues, [...]

So I played in the Party Sunday Million as I occasionally do. I must say I could write a script for how every one of those tournaments go. Here’s the road map:
1. Chip up early by busting some donk who can’t get off of TPNK.2. Hold steady for a while by getting card dead and [...]

So 3/6nl has gotten even more swingy since my last few posts…As the last post stated I had my worst single day loss ever, but thankfully the next day I went on an 8 buy in crusade to erase Sunday’s tragedy…unfortunately since then I’m back down another 3-4 buyins and my total winnings for the [...]

Hmm, things aren’t exactly going according to plan this month, as you can see above. As of about 5 minutes ago I’m busto on Full Tilt Poker from playing Heads Up 3/6nl cash games. I lost about $1500 in about 25 minutes primarily from 2 hands. First being where I chk [...]