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Sunday, September 30, 2007

NYC Trip Report

I’m so freaking tired.

What a wild few days it has been. My NYC trip has concluded and I’m currently on the first leg of my trip back home heading through charlotte, nc. I’m looking forward to the jamba juice that’s awaiting me before the final leg of my journey back home.

NYC. Where do I begin? Tuesday morning I awake at 4:30am to catch my 6am flight from KC to NYC (via washington, dc) after about 3.5 hours of sleep. Once in NYC I get a text from krantz telling me the address and directions to his condo. Turns out he’s about 2 blocks from Wall St which is cool because it’s something I wanted to see while in NY. I get lucky and have a really cool cab driver who is originally from Nigeria and he explains the different boroughs of the city and points out stuff (Cony Island, Brooklyn bridge, Statue of Liberty, etc) as we drive to jay’s place. About 35 minutes and $40 later it’s about noon and arrive at “Team Isreal’s” headquarters.

When I get there Dan (DJ Sensei) is on the couch playing online poker, Emil (whitelime) is asleep and Jay (krantz) is chilling. We decide to go grab a bite so me, Dan and Jay head to this café/sushi/bar place around the corner. After lunch we head back up to the room and Dan and Jay split action playing some HU 50/100 against a monster fish and clean him out.

When the fish busts it’s time for us to go check in at our hotel so Dan and I take a cab to times square. It was quite an experience. All I can say is most NYC cab drivers don’t f**k around lol. This guy wasn’t like the happy-go-lucky Nigerian that I had on my first ride…this guy was a man on a mission. Because of the United Nations summit meetings and the thing at Columbia with Makmood Nan-in-a-majad or whatever (Iran’s president) there were a lot of roads closed and traffic cops redirecting everyone away from the UN building – which of course is just a few blocks away from our hotel. In an effort to out maneuver every other car on the road, our cabby cuts off more people than Bill O’Reilly in an argument and somehow manages weave his way in and out of stop and go traffic. No red lights, left turn yields or even the back end of a city bus was going to stop us (in fairness, the city bus did stop us for about 15 seconds, long enough to throw it in reverse and cut the angle even tighter, after the CRUNCH that used to be our cab’s bumper… yes, we actually hit and ran a city bus in this cab).

After making it to the Westin and sorting out some reservation misunderstandings we make it to our rooms. Ariel (FoxwoodsFiend) and Dan are sharing a room and me and Greg (MYNAMEIZGREG – see blog on left) are in the other room except Greg and Ariel haven’t made it yet. We get settled a bit and then leave to meet back up with Jay and some other 2+2’ers at the Upright Citizens Brigade comedy club for some Improv comedy. There were 4 or 5 groups going, each get 30 minute slots to do improv comedy. Some of them were really good, others were brutally bad but all things considered it was worth going. Prior to the comedy I got my first taste of NY style pizza with Dan at this hole in the wall called Luigi’s. This place was old, a bit run down, had a few seats, and even a 13inch TV sitting on the side with the Mets game on. It was totally like a scene out of a mob movie or something.

After the comedy we head back to the Westin where we meet up with Greg and Ariel and the other 2+2’ers for lots of drinks in the hotel bar. Greg, Ariel, Joe (JoeTall), and Rob (forgot his screen name?) were especially cool to talk to. Rob and Joe were both fairly newly weds as I am so we had some funny conversations about poker and married life. When the bar closed down at 2am everyone left but Greg and I decided to check out Times Square since it was my first time in NY. Greg showed me all the ropes, got me my first street vendor hot dog and we had some more NY style pizza and a calzone. Although at 3am or so Times Square isn’t a cluster like it normally is, there was still plenty of activity and things to see. All the jumbotron ads made the place almost as bright as daylight in the dead of night. Pretty cool to see.

Wednesday we met up with Jay and the 2+2ers again to take care of some business and then we stopped at this outdoor café a few blocks from Wall Street and sat outside to hang out before dinner at an italian place near times square. Ariel, Vanessa (fslexduck), Dan, and someone else play $20 per point chinese poker. Vanessa went on a sick $500 downswing in like 20 mins and then ran it all back up to be a solid winner at the end. Was pretty funny to see. Greg and I played Joe (who typically plays limit hold’em) in a HU limit hold’em freezeout and got owned. Standard.

At 7 or so we head to the itialian place for dinner. I believe there were 12 of us in total. The food was excellent, appetizers really good and the wine was flowing. I had some mozerella and tomatoes as well as some fried calamari for appetizer, some sort of italian steak perfectly cooked for dinner with garlic mashed potatoes and for dessert it was an open faced apple pie with vanilla ice cream. So freaking good…mmmMMmmm

I had no idea that after dinner I’d witness the craziest most degenerate gambling I’d ever see in my life. We went to a bar a few blocks away that was fairly empty and seemed standardish for a bar. We all drank lots and hung out and after an hour or so I see Jay and Ariel playing rock paper scissors (rps). I ask what’s going on and apparently they are playing RPS for money. Jay gets stuck a bit, ups the stakes, stuck some more, ups the stakes, then before too long they are playing for $1,000 per RPS throw. They keep going, and going, and before you know it Jay is stuck like $12,800. So Ariel takes out $200 from his pocket, gives it to Jay so he’s down a nice round $13,000… lol. Someone pulls out a deck of cards and Jay proposes a $5000 omaha “flip” (they deal out a heads up hand of omaha high, all the cards face up and see who wins). Jay wins the flip. So now he’s down $8000, they do another flip this time with 7s wild for $8000. Board is something like K 5 6 9 2 and Ariel shows 5 K x 5 x for 5’s full. Now Jay turns his cards up, first one is a 7 for the wild card, then an A, then a blank, then… 5 so jay takes it down with quad 5s lol. Ariel proceeds to rip the last card in 4 pieces and throw it on the bar haha. More prop betting insues, don’t know the details, but eventually Ariel wins back the $200 he gave to Jay earlier then proceeds to rip the money up into pieces infront of everyone just because he didn’t want Jay to physically hold any of his money lolol…. Yes that’s right he simply tears up two $100 bills into a bunch of pieces in the middle of the bar.

So as time goes on there’s more prop betting on this or that, seven-way omaha $100 flips. I ended up doing 2 seven way flips but I run bad so I didn’t do any more. It was just as fun to watch everyone else. DJ ran hot and won like three 7 way flips in a row 2 outing the river twice. So then someone pulls a coin out and Jay and Ariel start flipping the coin for money. I don’t recall the exact amounts but at one point Jay was down $5k, so he offers Ariel 7:5 on the flip (putitng up $7000 to win back the $5000 on a 50/50 shot) and Jay loses, so down 12k now he offers like 15k for the 12k on a flip, jay loses again so he’s down like 27k, then Ariel is like no more, but jay pleads and pleads for another flip upping the amount, finally they agree on a 33k to win the 27k on a coinflip. Jay flips the coin catches it and covers it on the top of his hand. Ariel hollywoods a lot about what he’s going to choose, heads or tails, weighing the options. Jay peeks at the coin, Ariel hollywoods some more, then as time goes on Jay freaks out and flips the coin again, covers it, Ariel hollywoods more, finally decides “tails never fails” and calls tails. Jay shows the coin…. It’s heads lol… back to even. Apparently before Jay re-flipped the coin was actually on tails, which meant he would have been stuck 60k.

I know this is getting long but it was just so hilarious I have to keep typing it out. After some more prop betting later, Jay is down 5k to Ariel and Ariel is so pissed that he should have been up 60k, or at least 27k so he refuses to do any more prop bets because he wants to lock in 5k of his money. He’s so mad he wants to punch something so they start haggling back and forth as Ariel wants to offer Jay some of his $ back if he’s allowed to punch him. Finally they agree to $1k per punch, has to be to the stomach, Ariel isn’t allowed to move his feet and it can’t be a surprise punch. So we’re clearing out of the way in the bar getting ready to set this up. Prop bets are flying from the rest of us as to whether or not Jay will puke or if he’ll get knocked over. Jay takes 2 punches to the gut like a man, no knocking over, no puking and reclaims 2k of his 5k debt just like that. Hilarious…. Lol. I was quite impressed. I was actually about to lay some $ that he’d get knocked over but thankfully I didn’t. The bar closed fairly soon after that. The irish bartender just shook his head at us, but he got a sick tip so it was all good.

The next day, Thursday, Lars Luzak was on FTP so they decide to play him and chop action. Me and Greg had 5% of their action, Emil, Ariel and Jay took 30% playing $100/$200 blind $20k buyin HU NL hold’em. I don’t think I could ever play that high… the swings are insane and Lars is one of the best players that no one has ever heard of (much tougher than almost anyone you have heard of, including the likes of Ivey and Durr). After swinging up like 50k by flopping flushes and getting ridiculously lucky on some poorly played hands the downswing insues and they crash to like –60k before bobbing back close to even. The next day they play again and similarly crash down a bunch before ending almost evenish. The rest of the day is spent by me, Jay, Ariel, Emil playing 5/10 – 50/100nl and chopping action 25% at all stakes playing on each other’s accounts. Jay and I stay up til like 4am running worse than ever and end up dropping like 45k. We lost a 20k pot ai pf vs Durr at hu 50/100 with AK getting outflopped by AQ. It was so sick… plenty of cooler/setup spots at 25/50 as well and some bad plays contributed. I was pretty sick to my stomach. (Some of you that IM’d me about playing 25/50nl, that was actually Ariel on my account BTW) So I get back to my hotel at like 5am and catch about 6 hours of sleep before I have to check out, then it’s back to Jay’s place to try and play catch up…

So because of the hole we were in I decided to stay an extra day in NY to try to recoup some losses with them. I played all freaking day and night on Friday and managed to put a little dent in, but we were still down a truck load. When 4am rolled around I finally crashed on their couch. Saturday was more of the same and when I finally left for the airport they were upswinging a bit but we’re all still down about 7k each. Sick. Can’t believe how bad that timing was to run so terrible when playing higher. Oh wait, of course I can believe it. Lol.

So now I’m in the airplane flying somewhere over the midwest on my way home. NYC was quite an experience. I really liked seeing all the huge buildings and the rat race of the entire city. People everywhere. The subways were dirtier, smellier, and nastier than I had pictured. Times Square was about how I thought it would be. The soup-nazi-esque style of the local food stops was fun to experience and I’m glad I finally got some real NY style pizza. It was kind of a bummer I didn’t get a whole lot of 1 on 1 coaching time with krantz but I did get to watch him play a lot so that counts for something. Everyone I met was real cool and they are some fantastic players…even when they are acting like spewtarding calling stations (*cough* TT no heart bet/call on Kh 5h 6h board *cough*). Playing so aggro at super high stakes vs good players seems to induce psychiatric ward levels of paranoia at every bet or raise though. It was tough for me to swallow some of that, but I haven’t spent enough time at big stakes like 25/50nl+ to know whether or not I’d adjust so drastically.

Alright this is probably my longest blog entry to date. I doubt anyone actually makes it down to the end. I’m sure I didn’t do the prop betting stories justice as there’s no way I can possibly convey how completely insane these drunken bets were…I definitely don’t have that level of gamble in me… haha

September recap will be up in a few days.

Aaron

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Initial NYC thoughts

made it to nyc today around 11:30am. Had to get up at 4:30am and was draggggggin since i couldn't fall asleep until like 12:30. Took some tylonel pm that helped me fall asleep.

highlights so far include (chronological order):

-met up with krantz, hung out at his baller manhattan apartment with a killer view (pics t0 follow)
-met up with DJ Sensei, sweat him and krantz split 50/50 action at 50/100nl playing this donk HU. Took us way too long to bust him but the good guys ended up with the $$$.
-went to Upright Citizens Brigade improv, saw some good comedy, some real bad comedy, but all things considered was pretty good.
-met up with some cool limit guys including Joe Tall of 2+2 fame, he's a real solid guy and i enjoyed the conversation with him
-had a lot of beers with krantz, dj sensei, mynameizgreg, joe tall, death donkey, and lots of other 2+2 guys, got semi drunk/buzzed then went back to the room had another drink with greg then we hit up times square at 1am-ish for NY style pizza and general walking around
-mynameizgreg is a super solid guy and real cool to hang out with and I'm real happy to be rooming with him. very impressed so far with how normal/cool he is. for being 20 yrs old he's way wise beyond his years. He even bought me my first NYC street vendor hot dog, which was immeasurably cool.

Ok that's it, still a little buzzed, ready for bed... tomorrow will be down to biznaz

holla

Aaron

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Off to Madison...

...for my uncle's wedding. Should be a lot of fun to see the fam again. Can't believe it's already been almost 3 months since Missy and my wedding. Crazy. I can't wait to see everyone.

Dad's team has an off week this week so no wedding/college football game conflicts which I'm thankful for.

Month has still been going strong. Opened a UB account the other day and funded it using the PayTru Visa debit card that you can get with pokerstars. Only bad thing is there's a $750 per day limit so it's tough to get any serious money on there. With 2 buyins I decided to to play some HU 2/4 last night and won a couple buyins running pretty hot. That was nice. Hopefully I can just run well on UB for a while so I can get myself at least a 10 buyin cushion for 2/4 6max which I plan on playing there so I can get better reads for my students on the general gameplay/environment there. I'm always trying to think of extra stuff like this (and forums, extra time, homeworks) to do in order to give my students extra value for their money. My goal is to be the best low-mid stakes NL coach out there for the price.

I'm currently looking to add 2 more regular students by the end of the month. I think 6 regular students would be a good number for me right now. If you're interested send me an email. I'll be in Madison until Sunday then off to NYC on Tuesday so the soonest I could start with a new student would be the weekend of Sept 29th.

Good luck,
Aaron

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Life Quality EV

Something I've been thinking about a lot lately is how every since I've started playing poker seriously I view everything through the green colored poker lens. It seems like virtually everything in my life is measured by it's EV. Not necessarily $ EV, but just overall EV whether it be happiness, timeliness, $, or any combination. I guess what I'm getting at is by thinking/seeing everything through the poker lens you're much more aware of the overall opportunity cost associated with making different life decisions.

For example, the simple decision of whether or not you want to go meet up with friends. I'm notorious for trying to do everything I can to avoid going out with this group of "friends" of "ours" (ie, my wife's friends). When I think about spending time with these people (who are for the most part reasonably nice people) it makes me think of all the other things I could be doing with that time. Many things, including doing absolutely nothing but relaxing, have a considerably higher Life Quality EV (LQEV) for me than being social just for the sake of being social.

Outside of my family, I have 3 primary focuses right now and perhaps 1 other secondary focus. Primary focuses being 1) Playing/studying poker for myself 2) Website with my uncle 3) Coaching poker. The secondary focus being stock market/investing research. All of these focuses as well as other priorities that come and go all have different LQEV trade offs associated with them. Only having so many hours in a day a person has to figure out how to spend their time in order to maximize their LQEV (and in my case also the LQEV of my wife).

As sad and pathetic as it might sound, when there's a task that needs to be done (mow the yard, fix the garage door, run this errand, call so-and-so, play poker vs coach vs program) I can't help think about how this will effect my overall LQEV, to such a degree that many items may fall to the wayside in such a way that people ask "why hasn't Aaron done XYZ yet." Simply put, it didn't rank high enough on the LQEV scale. Often me and my wife jokingly refer to this as being "lazy" but as an astute friend of mine once pointed out, I'm not really lazy when I decide I want to do something -- in fact it's quite the opposite -- I usually obsess over whatever it is I decide to do... And usually I decide to do "it" because it has the highest LQEV!

One thing I should point out is that LQEV doesn't necessarily always translate into what's the biggest gain for MY LIFE. For instance, I've decided to volunteer at Missy's school starting in october to be a role model for some troubled kids. While I'll be sacrificing personal time that would have been associated to one of the above "focuses," I feel like doing volunteer work for a few hours a week to significantly increase someone else's LQEV is worth sacrificing some of my own EV. The act of sacrificing my own EV to increase someone else's EV in and of itself is worth a lot of EV for myself. That's basically just a confusing way of saying that helping others is something I value.

So it seems like all this stuff really just comes down to one word: "prioritizing," and on the surface it is, but I feel like LQEV really goes a step beyond a simple priority list. It really is about weighing each factor in a decision as to the expected value and how that will increase or decrease happiness, profits, future happiness, future profits, opportunity cost, and timeliness. An important thing to note about LQEV is that like EV in poker, decisions are made and analyzed not by the result of the decision but by what the expected result over the long haul. In other words, the ability to remove results oriented thinking in LQEV is just as important as poker EV.

This is important because it relates to decision making based on uncertain outcomes. If the goal is to maximize LQEV then we'll often be put in situations where it becomes correct to make a decision that's "risky" in order to benefit from a higher LQEV even if the situation doesn't pan out how you want a lot of the time. For example, your favorite college football team is a big underdog against a nationally ranked school. You'd really like to go but you realize there's a good chance they'll lose and if they do lose the trip back home will be pretty depressing when you could have just watched on TV. However, if they happen to win, it would be such a huge deal that it would be a lasting life memory and something you'll value forever. If you go to the game and they lose, you'll probably have an OK time but the money and hassle of travelling is a big pain. In this case, you have 2 decisions that may both have a positive LQEV, but if your team happened to win AND you were there (least likely outcome) the resulting LQEV would skyrocket. So although it's unlikely to happen, the LQEV of being there for a win could easily overcome the negative EV of travel costs/headaches.

So if we continue with our example and say the simple act of watching the game has a LQEV of 100 (whether you are there or at home) there's a 25% chance our team wins the game we could say:

LQEV(stay home and watch) = 100
LQEV(go to game) = 100 - (cost + inconvenience) + .25 * (LQEV of victory)

Just by setting up this formula it's easy to see how depending on the variable values we plug in for cost, inconvenience, and victory EV for celebrating in person, it could be higher to stay at home or higher to go. The important thing for this illustration isn't the values involved it's the process. This is how LQEV is different from a simple priority list. More to the point, the LQEV process is what helps you create a priority list.

It's 5:45am now and I can tell you that with each passing minute the LQEV of going to sleep is increasing, so I think I'll go ahead and take my current EV and close out this entry.

You can all have fun planning out your lives now. I hope you brought your calculator.

Thinking like a poker player can be really f*#ked up.

Aaron

Saturday, September 15, 2007

+EV Poker forums up and running!

Alright so I finally got off my butt and got some forums up and running for my students and blog visitors to post in. There's a private forum for me and each of my four current students as well as two general forums for all registered users (anyone can register) and an open forum for any old anonymous person *cough hater cough* to post in.

Don't be surprised if the open forum doesn't last long... lol. 'Gonna make you guys register if ya want to sit around sippin' the haterade.

You can get to the forums by going to this page: http://www.takeforum.com/plusevpoker

For some reason the free forums at takeforum.com redirect you if you try to link to it from an outside source. Such a bummer...if I put a link to the forum it takes you to some care.org but if you copy/paste the above link into your browser location, it works. I'm going to figure out a way around that, gotta be a way.

Perhaps some of you guys that read and rarely comment could stop by and post something fun and interesting.

Poker is going well this month, much better than last (by a long stretch). I still feel like I'm running below expectation (especially in coinflip spots) but that's how it goes. I'm not going to complain because I'm probably running above expectation in other areas. I don't know where the time has gone but we're already half way through September. It seems like yesterday I was just posting my end of august bs. Anyway, still a lot I've got to do this month...

I leave Thursday to go up to Madison, WI for my uncle's wedding. I need to track down a black suit before then. We'll stay there until sunday then on tuesday I'm on a plane up to NYC where I'll stay for 3 nights and 4 days chillin with Krantz, MYNAMEIZGREG, and some other 2+2 notables. I'm especially looking forward to having some live 1 on 1 time with krantz doing some extended sweat sessions as well as rooming with greg in this baller hotel in Times Square. I've never been to NYC before so I'm sure it'll be an experience.

In project news, we've really hit a lull in our motivation to get something up and running. We've made an executive decision to scrap the free app/web server our friend was going to get for us and just pay the $150/month for our own. I think it'll be better that way and hopefully more motivating for us to get something out there. I really need to buckle down and get some work done on the development but there's still a long way to go. At least we've finally secured a logo.

See ya on the forums,
Aaron

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Keepin the A game goinggggg...

... despite running like ass. I really felt like I was crushing everyone today. I had two guys in particular set up perfectly and when it was time to capitalize on my image and our history they suck out. Priceless.

I don't feel like I can "ball" much harder than I did today so I'm going to share some of the hand histories with you as I'm going through my post-game PT analysis.

First I was playing 3/6 this afternoon and totally owning this guy. I had been 3betting him relentlessly and stealing a lot postflop. I knew I had him right where I wanted him as you can just tell when someone is getting frustrated and ready to snap. I know this guy can't wait to make a play at me so I make a bluff to induce a bluff so I can rebluff. yeaaaa. So after that hand he gets more frustrated so I opt to take a different line with top pair to make a small suspect looking checkraise to induce a shove/bluff from worse. I got what I wanted but unfortunately he sucks out. When playing against regulars who are paying attention you can really use some of these subtleties with bet sizing and board texture to fuck with them.

So while I was not only terrorizing this guy there were others when I played this afternoon. Here I got my lag image to pay off, errr, wait a second.

Then I proceed to get manhandled by this donkey in these three pots:
lose the flip
get him right where I want him
get coolered - I think I might be able to get away fromt his last one, still haven't decided. the guy is 45/20, makes bad bluffs and I'm getting 3:1. I'm not sure 2pair is in his range when he makes the 3bet on the river but air could be. jury is still out on this one.

Which brings me to some more hands where I felt like I was crushing this guy in particular. Again with the relentless 3betting, postflop steals and more steals and good call downs. Which all culminates in this hand which I've been setting up for the past 2 hours. Standard.

Also made 3 ace high call downs tonight, all were good. Here's
the best one.

So there was my day of poker today. There were some more good ones where I got paid off in ridiculous spots but there are already a lot of hand histories in this entry so I won't bother with any more. Pretty crazy day actually.

In case you're wondering, this month is going much better than the last one. Hopefully if I keep playing well it will continue. I've been in real good spirits mentally and I think that has helped. Also I'm trying to stay on 4-5 tables maximum so I can take better advantage of my table image and play more aggressively in general.

Also just for laughs, some of you may know that I like to mess around in chat a little bit. Here was a funny chat log from one of my full tilt tables this evening. The guy was the mark at the table so I usually try to do what I can to keep them having a good time:

DeputyDonkey: hey is anyone drinkin patron on the rocks like me???
WiltOnTilt: nah man corona
DeputyDonkey: PATRON
WiltOnTilt: if i had some i'd drink it
DeputyDonkey: hey honestly ive never drank patron b4 tnight
WiltOnTilt: its pretty good stuff
DeputyDonkey: but my giirl got me a small one
WiltOnTilt: only had it twice
DeputyDonkey: so i mean its only right to drink it right???
DeputyDonkey: im a bourbon man myself
WiltOnTilt: hell ya
DeputyDonkey: but id be lyin if i didnt feel like a pimp playin with $600 drinkin patron
DeputyDonkey: hajhahah
WiltOnTilt: haha
WiltOnTilt: nice
WiltOnTilt: that is some real ballin'

DeputyDonkey: yea im poor thugh make no mistake
WiltOnTilt: haha

Too funny :-)

Aaron

Thursday, September 06, 2007

Homework #2

Alright guys time for your next homework assignment. This hand, while much different than hand 1, has some interesting things about it. I'll be anxious to see what you guys think here.

I myself went back and forth on how I think this hand is best played but after debating with Jay about it, we came to an agreement.

Our villain in this hand is the CO, a 19/14 tag FTP regular. I think he mostly plays 3/6nl but has recently been taking more shots at 5/10. Some other interesting background is that I actually met and played with this guy at the Bellagio 5/10nl during my vegas wsop trip this summer. That day he was playing tight, running hot and talking smack haha... I also know he's a cardrunners member.

In this session he's been playing fairly tightish as his stats would indicate. I've 3bet him a few times and he's mostly given up except one hand where I 3bet him with QQ and he calls with TT. Flop was 6s 4s 2o and like 250 in the pot. I got tricky and bet $160 and he thought for like 15 seconds before being induced to checkraise and called my shove.

The other player, SB, is a bad fish. 45/13 guy or something around those numbers. He's pretty much the mark at the table, and no real special reads other than he sucks.

Everything about this hand is up to debate, from preflop all the way to the river. State your case.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $5/$10 Blinds - 6 Players

SB: $1,904.75
BB: $1,000.00
UTG: $1,391.00
MP: $965.00
CO: $1,004.00
WiltOnTilt (BTN): $1,524.00

Preflop: WiltOnTilt is dealt T T (6 Players)
2 folds, CO raises to $35.00, WiltOnTilt calls $35.00, SB calls $30.00, BB folds

Flop: ($115) J J T (3 Players)
SB checks, CO bets $99.00, WiltOnTilt calls $99.00, SB folds

Turn: ($313) A (2 Players)
CO checks, WiltOnTilt checks

River: ($313) 2 (2 Players)
CO checks, WiltOnTilt bets $225.00, CO raises all-in to $870.00

Good luck,
Aaron

Monday, September 03, 2007

Disappointing month - Aug recap

Well as advertised, the monthly recap blog entry is as shitty to write as it was to play during the month of August. Actually it was shittier to play but you get the idea.

As you can see from the graph below, the final tally was quite dreadful as I chalk up a losing month of poker. It was a very difficult month with few highs and lots of lows and a final 11 hour poker marathon on the night of the 31st got me to rally "up" to a -8k loss. Pretty pathetic when you have to book a +$5k session in order to finish -$8k on the month. Terrible.




Overall I've been looking through my PT and trying not to make excuses (but I still make them). I think I've been running too many medium-pot bluffs. Too often it's like no one folds for just one move. You need two "moves" to make it happen. For instance, friends of mine have often known me to say you can't 2 barrel on an A high flop and expect anyone to fold an A to you. You either need to fire the 3rd barrel or just stop at 1 barrel. I think a similar thing is true on flop raises. This month I did a lot of flop cbet raising where I'd expect people to give up and they won't -- unless you follow through with another big turn bet. I know these things are kind of abstract without hard examples but in general I'm not following through enough. Another example might be when you float someone on the flop, they c/c you on the turn, and then on the river on a lot of board textures it's very hard for them to have anything decent, so a bluff shove should be profitable... but failing to follow through on the river is light lighting the flop/turn $ I put in the pot on fire.

Others may disagree with that above paragraph but I sort of feel like that's part of what happened in august... not following through on the extra street. The problem is once you run so bad and get stuck a bunch it's hard to risk shoving another stack in the middle in another marginal bluff spot. Don't misunderstand, I don't feel like poor bluffs were the entire (or even the majority) reason why I had such a terrible month, but it was one contributing factor. The KK v AA 6x (won 1) and the AA v KK twice (lost 1) might have had something to do with it too. (ya ya there are the excuses again).

In any case, I'm planning to head up to NYC for a few days at the end of september and I'll be bringing my PT for krantz to look through. I'm really looking forward to that a lot. Jay continues to be the most knowledgable poker resource I have at my disposal and I'm really grateful to get his analysis/coaching when I can.

Another disappointment is the website I've been working so hard on still isn't up and running. We're trying to get this free application server set up through my uncle's friend but being that it's free we're kind of getting what we pay for. It's been frustrating to not be able to get the work we've done up for all to see and use. In any case I'm hoping that within a week or two we'll have our first release up and running. I'm excited to start slowing down the development phase of "da proj" and get on to having a working product to advertise and optimize and with a little luck, make a few bucks. So far I've got some really solid functionality built in but we'd still like to add a lot more. Making something is visually appealing and that people actually like to use is very time consuming. No youtube spamming, multi-color-flashing, music-jamming, slideshow spinning, tilt-o-whirl-puking, seizure inducing, myspace trainwreck of a website here. No sirrreee!

Or at least, that's the hope.

So back on to poker. I was happy to see the Homework problem 1 got some good feedback from my students as well as random blog visitors. It's always nice to see some comments from people that just stop by to the site. Unfortunately after this graph I deserve a few "you shouldn't have quit your day job" posts. lol. Despite the trainwreck that this month (and june) was I'm still well above programmer salary for the year. So that helps me sleep at night. If I cant get my poker results back on track and our website doesn't pan out to anything, there may be some code monkey consulting work in my future. Months like these are just really too stressful to handle, and having 2 of the last 3 months be really brutal has made me really question if I want to use this game as a sole source of income, even if my EV is higher than what it would be having a "real job".

That has prompted me to seriously focus on other ways of making money to ease the pain of the bad runs in poker. Certainly the website I'm talking about a lot is part of that, but also I've been looking into other methods of self sustaining. I've been getting really into the stock market lately, trying to keep up with the happenings in the financial world. Obviously I'm still very much a noob at all of it but you have to start somewhere. I could see myself, after a lot of work, trying to make a run at the swing trading or day trading game as an additional income stream. We'll see where it goes. I'm planning to pick up a couple books on it and learn as much as I can before putting any money behind doing a lot of active trading. I do plan to buy some stocks and start following companies in the near future though, which I'm sure i'll talk about the process I'm learning on the blog for anyone who is interested.

Well, sometimes it stings to do blog entries. certainly this is one of those times, but if I'm to stay true with the original purpose of this blog then I have to do it. If nothing else, perhaps I can make my resident blog hater raise his glass in cheers to another round of haterade.

Quick set of goals off the top of my head for september:
-Put up a good best man speech at my uncle's wedding.
-Play LESS THAN 50,000 hands. Force myself on fewer tables. (I felt like I've already been doing this but somehow I amassed 72,000 hands this month -- not sure how)
-Spend more time doing post session analysis
-Continue to help my students improve their game
-More interactive homeworks
-Launch Preemas.com -- our new website I keep talking about

Aaron